Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpIlIIIIIIlIIlllIIIll
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)100% (12–0, n=12)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.1M$4.1M$20K
Tracked asPM monthly #3was PM monthly #87PM monthly #10was PM monthly #939
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)39% (7 of 18 open)66% (103 of 156 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Esports ±0 pts, n=10
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%90% of 10 at avg 90¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—29% (won 11% of 403)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—16% (won 38% of 228)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—15% (won 62% of 214)0%
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—40% (won 94% of 553)100% (won 90% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpIlIIIIIIlIIlllIIIll
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
—Claire Liu $7.9KAlexandra Eala $6.8K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $151Yes $2.7K—
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Crystal Palace FC
—Liverpool FC $529Crystal Palace FC $18—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.2KUnder $13K—
Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $34Over $1.3K—
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO5) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
same side · consensus MOUZ
—TheMongolz $638TheMongolz $2—