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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | feeder-of-markets | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 69% (11–5, n=16) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | -$29K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (27 of 35 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 53% (53 of 100 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 86% of 14 at avg 55¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 75% of 4) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 21% (won 67% of 3) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 0% | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 50% (won 100% of 7) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | feeder-of-markets | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $292K | — | Jaguars $7.6K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $194K | — | Jaguars $1.6K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $837 | — | Jaguars $2.4K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.1K | — | Jaguars $180 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $92K | — | Ravens $5.4K |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | Warriors $1.7K | — | Warriors $520 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $293 | — | Ravens $1.2K |