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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankfantasy7788fossildiamond577robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)68% (17–8, n=25)100% (3–0, n=3)55% (11–9, n=20)71% (17–7, n=24)
Consensus PnL$884K$260K$33K$467K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #82PM monthly #754PM monthly #16 + pinned
Sides with the consensus36% (5 of 14 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%—100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)0%—11% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)50% (won 100% of 1)—33% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)50% (won 100% of 1)—44% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)0%—11% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankfantasy7788fossildiamond577robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Trail Blazers $2.6K——Thunder $134K
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Kings $5.1K——Kings $651
Magic vs. Kings
same side · consensus Magic
—Kings $1.3K—Kings $799