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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | e46m3 | Qtyu | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 95% (310–15, n=325) | 17% (156–789, n=945) | no settled market | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $536K | — | $111K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #106 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (32 of 38 open) | 73% (320 of 441 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −6 pts, n=17 | Mentions −7 pts, n=23 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30% | 96% of 268 at avg 95¢, ROI +2% | 83% of 1141 at avg 54¢, ROI +19% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 38% (won 18% of 2197) | 0% (won 0% of 1) | 5% (won 62% of 61) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 7% (won 53% of 397) | 1% (won 50% of 2) | 35% (won 75% of 397) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 9% (won 71% of 531) | 1% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 88% of 492) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 46% (won 97% of 2679) | 98% (won 97% of 262) | 17% (won 95% of 191) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.