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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankchinamaxFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)no settled market53% (5928–5310, n=11238)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$9.4M—$3.3M$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #983PM monthly #17PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)no open consensus position66% (289 of 438 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +16 pts n=36, ROI −3%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=10, ROI −2%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—MLB ±0 pts, n=45Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%62% of 99 at avg 52¢, ROI −2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)7% (won 0% of 7)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)30% (won 43% of 30)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)52% (won 78% of 51)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)11% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankchinamaxFlaznorpjoseph00677
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $64K—Yes $117K—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $651K—No $40K—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $3.2K—No $43K—
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $6.9K—Celtics $215—