← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | buoys | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 48% (679–727, n=1406) | 65% (901–484, n=1385) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $94K | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #960 | PM monthly #101 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (23 of 34 open) | 56% (102 of 182 open) | 70% (106 of 151 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Science −7 pts, n=13 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 47% of 1635 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 41% (won 12% of 676) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 47% of 257) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 19% (won 67% of 309) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 24% (won 91% of 393) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | buoys | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $278K | — | Yes $11K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $74K | Yes $8.2K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $80K | Yes $46 | — |