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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankbuoysferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)48% (691–742, n=1433)35% (3665–6666, n=10331)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$93K$3.1M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #882PM monthly #126PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)59% (38 of 64 open)74% (20 of 27 open)75% (147 of 197 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Science −9 pts, n=15—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%47% of 1657 at avg 41¢, ROI +2%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)41% (won 12% of 683)—29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 48% of 263)—16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)19% (won 68% of 310)—16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)24% (won 91% of 401)—39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankbuoysferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $3.5KOver $2.7K
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
——Taylor Fritz $3.5KCarlos Alcaraz $1.4K
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
——Sumit Nagal $4.2KKilian Feldbausch $241
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.1KOver $3
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $1.5K76ers $188
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $13K
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
——Aidan Mayo $6.2KAidan Mayo $3.8K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
——Celtics $1.8KCeltics $219
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
——Zsombor Piros $1.3KZsombor Piros $298
Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs tao toma (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage
same side · consensus tao toma
——tao toma $58tao toma $2