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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | UnderperformingForALiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 40% (67–102, n=169) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $206K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #189 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (159 of 189 open) | 67% (8 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −24 pts, n=13 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 50% of 170 at avg 52¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 19% (won 16% of 32) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 27% (won 43% of 46) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 31% (won 60% of 52) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 73% of 40) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | UnderperformingForALiving |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $122 | Yes $79K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $33K | No $3 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $183K | Yes $233K |