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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | UnderperformingForALiving | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 40% (67–102, n=169) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.8M | $11.0M | $206K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #193 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 83% (157 of 189 open) | 54% (7 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | NBA −24 pts, n=13 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 50% of 170 at avg 52¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 19% (won 16% of 32) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 27% (won 43% of 46) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 31% (won 60% of 52) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 73% of 40) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | UnderperformingForALiving |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $125 | Yes $79K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $33K | No $3 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $185K | Yes $233K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $89K | Yes $9.3K |