← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | RememberAmalek | SineNooneEI | Villson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (441–15, n=456) | 73% (388–147, n=535) | 92% (471–42, n=513) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $824K | $1.0M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #152 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #937 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (34 of 45 open) | 55% (86 of 156 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=10 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 61% of 525 at avg 50¢, ROI +5% | 92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 37% (won 10% of 193) | 5% (won 83% of 23) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 13% (won 67% of 66) | 36% (won 88% of 182) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 14% (won 88% of 74) | 44% (won 93% of 224) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 37% (won 99% of 192) | 16% (won 99% of 82) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | RememberAmalek | SineNooneEI | Villson |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $28K | Yes $75K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $20K | Yes $245 | — | — |