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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | RN1 | wpj | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) | 41% (13–19, n=32) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $14.8M | $28K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #993 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (18 of 29 open) | 60% (130 of 216 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 36% of 28 at avg 41¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 39% (won 0% of 11) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 21% (won 33% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 14% (won 50% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 25% (won 86% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | RN1 | wpj |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $31K | Pelicans $126 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $19K | Pelicans $121 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) same side · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $346 | Grizzlies $118 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $66 | Hawks $128 | — |