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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | wpj | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 50% (1120–1127, n=2247) | 47% (14272–15777, n=30049) | 42% (14–19, n=33) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $3.6M | $14.8M | $25K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | was PM monthly #981 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 59% (10 of 17 open) | 46% (29 of 63 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 38% of 29 at avg 41¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 38% (won 0% of 11) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 21% (won 33% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 17% (won 60% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 24% (won 86% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | wpj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Arizona (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | TCU $7.6K | Arizona $621 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | TCU $2.0K | Arizona $788 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | TCU $1.4K | Arizona $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | TCU $521 | Arizona $848 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-8.5) same side · consensus Arizona | — | TCU $495 | TCU $1.5K | — |
| TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 43.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $332 | Over $1.3K | — |