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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | RN1 | SingW | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 47% (14227–15735, n=29962) | 72% (1099–434, n=1533) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $14.8M | -$80K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | was PM monthly #882 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (27 of 35 open) | 60% (81 of 135 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 1343 at avg 41¢, ROI +13% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 25% (won 42% of 342) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 37% (won 84% of 496) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 35% (won 88% of 472) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 2% (won 91% of 33) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | RN1 | SingW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Grizzlies $14K | Thunder $142 | — |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $769 | Raptors $39 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Jazz $396 | Jazz $8 | — |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Raptors $214 | Raptors $163 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $50 | Grizzlies $127 | — |