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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1SingW
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)72% (1087–417, n=1504)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$5.3M$14.8M-$70K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #3PM monthly #31 + pinnedwas PM monthly #882
Sides with the consensus79% (26 of 33 open)no open consensus position54% (44 of 82 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +36 pts n=1208, ROI +16%
  • NBA +19 pts n=96, ROI +4%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 1316 at avg 41¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)25% (won 43% of 326)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)37% (won 84% of 487)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)36% (won 88% of 470)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)3% (won 91% of 33)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1SingW
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $292K—Jaguars $5.2K—
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $194K—Jaguars $1.2K—
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $837—Jaguars $2.2K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $92K—Ravens $1.9K—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $1.7K—Warriors $520—
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $293—Ravens $1.2K—