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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | MadridTime | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 51% (797–781, n=1578) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | -$13K | $4.2M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #726 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #48 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (18 of 29 open) | 55% (37 of 67 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 68% (17 of 25 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 5% (won 100% of 26) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 17% (won 100% of 85) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 19% (won 100% of 94) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 59% (won 100% of 296) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | MadridTime | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Toledo (-23.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Sacramento State $142 | — | Toledo $266 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5) same side · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $1.2K | — | Eastern Michigan $7.5K |
| Spread: Ball State (-5.5) same side · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $43 | — | Ball State $4.1K |
| Spread: Ball State (-6.5) same side · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $1 | — | Ball State $202 |