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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | HerbertAppreciator | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 25% (31–95, n=126) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 48% (14109–15586, n=29695) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $160K | $5.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #336 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (25 of 31 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (14 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 84% of 37 at avg 37¢, ROI +15% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 41% (won 67% of 15) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 32% (won 92% of 12) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 100% of 6) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 11% (won 100% of 4) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | HerbertAppreciator | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $63K | Yes $5.7K | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $79K | Yes $148K | — | — |