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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | HerbertAppreciator | joseph00677 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 25% (31–95, n=126) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $151K | $5.3M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #48 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (26 of 33 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (6 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 84% of 37 at avg 37¢, ROI +15% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 41% (won 67% of 15) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 32% (won 92% of 12) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 412) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 100% of 6) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 50% (won 99% of 503) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 11% (won 100% of 4) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | HerbertAppreciator | joseph00677 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $72K | Yes $5.7K | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $75K | Yes $138K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $837 | — | — | Ravens $4 |