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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (581–722, n=1303) | 39% (3342–5197, n=8539) | 50% (1127–1147, n=2274) | 50% (20622–20404, n=41026) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | -$469K | $3.6M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #249 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 73% (551 of 751 open) | 68% (13 of 19 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Weather −6 pts, n=584 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 36% of 4042 at avg 39¢, ROI −2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 56% (won 3% of 2267) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 4% (won 33% of 170) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 4% (won 48% of 166) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 36% (won 89% of 1439) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $407K | Yes $361 | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $77K | No $2.2K | — | — |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | No $372 | — | — |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.3K | No $123 | — | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $20K | Yes $80 | — | — |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.2K | Yes $97 | — | — |