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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Gdub | joseph00677 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (574–717, n=1291) | 72% (621–238, n=859) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 50% (20844–20530, n=41374) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $13K | $5.3M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #999 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 73% (16 of 22 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Politics ±0 pts, n=150 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 75% of 830 at avg 72¢, ROI +1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 15% (won 11% of 123) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 7% (won 41% of 61) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 9% (won 68% of 73) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 69% (won 93% of 573) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Gdub | joseph00677 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $64K | Yes $7.2K | — | — |