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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankGdubRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)72% (619–237, n=856)48% (14112–15590, n=29702)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$13K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3was PM monthly #999PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus78% (25 of 32 open)71% (15 of 21 open)49% (26 of 53 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Elections −1 pts, n=146—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%77% of 779 at avg 74¢, ROI +1%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 15% of 95)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)8% (won 41% of 59)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)9% (won 67% of 70)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)71% (won 93% of 555)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankGdubRN1
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $72KYes $7.2K—