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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Gdub | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 72% (621–238, n=859) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 47% (14382–15903, n=30285) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $13K | $5.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #999 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 85% (17 of 20 open) | no open consensus position | 48% (47 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Politics ±0 pts, n=150 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 75% of 832 at avg 72¢, ROI +1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 15% (won 11% of 123) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 7% (won 41% of 61) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 9% (won 68% of 73) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 69% (won 93% of 575) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Gdub | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $39K | Yes $7.3K | — | — |