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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | G.Hchen | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 69% (355–163, n=518) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (1105–1118, n=2223) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $72K | $3.2M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #619 | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (18 of 29 open) | 69% (36 of 52 open) | 68% (105 of 154 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Finance −27 pts, n=10 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 69% of 499 at avg 56¢, ROI +15% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 26% of 66) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 23% (won 59% of 117) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 34% (won 79% of 171) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 29% (won 86% of 145) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | G.Hchen | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $7 | — | Yes $1.0M | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $740 | Yes $2.5K | — |