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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpsainttroplayTMingchan
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)no settled market63% (15–9, n=24)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M—$35K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #17—PM monthly #686
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)66% (268 of 409 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=13, ROI +50%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—100% of 13 at avg 49¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)—0%
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)—54% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)—46% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)—0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpsainttroplayTMingchan
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $64KYes $115K——
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $651KNo $40K——
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $3.2KNo $23K——
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $6.9KCeltics $215——