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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmwesolyjasiu
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)50% (1103–1116, n=2219)99% (1912–13, n=1925)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$3.6M$9.4K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #22PM monthly #46PM monthly #633
Sides with the consensus54% (15 of 28 open)78% (154 of 198 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 1487 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)0% (won 0% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)0% (won 40% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)99% (won 100% of 1477)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.