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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmThereAreLevels
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)37% (18–31, n=49)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$3.6M$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #49was PM monthly #999
Sides with the consensus79% (26 of 33 open)68% (128 of 187 open)60% (6 of 10 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%61% of 31 at avg 61¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)13% (won 25% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 412)13% (won 25% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 99% of 503)32% (won 70% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)42% (won 77% of 13)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmThereAreLevels
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Warriors $1.7KHeat $79——
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $90Florida Atlantic $24K—
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $837—Ravens $4—