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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | scrapbook | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6524–6030, n=12554) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 53% (156–140, n=296) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.5M | $3.2M | -$9.5K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #106 | was PM monthly #999 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (23 of 28 open) | 74% (237 of 320 open) | 74% (82 of 111 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Economy −8 pts, n=32 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 47% of 331 at avg 41¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 38% (won 13% of 127) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 18% (won 48% of 61) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 27% (won 66% of 89) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 16% (won 91% of 54) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | scrapbook |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $8 | — | Yes $1.0M | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |