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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1qwerqr1251251
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)63% (1095–632, n=1727)72% (126–49, n=175)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$4.6M$56K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #111was PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensus86% (37 of 43 open)70% (87 of 125 open)71% (70 of 98 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%97% of 212 at avg 69¢, ROI +29%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)1% (won 0% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)11% (won 92% of 24)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)36% (won 97% of 77)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)51% (won 100% of 108)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1qwerqr1251251
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $103K76ers $924——
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $28776ers $707——
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $423K—No $346K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $304K—Yes $12K—