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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1PT-S7
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)63% (990–573, n=1563)89% (407–48, n=455)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$3.6M-$76K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #90PM monthly #802
Sides with the consensus80% (28 of 35 open)74% (101 of 137 open)72% (53 of 74 open)43% (3 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 186 at avg 77¢, ROI +18%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)4% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)19% (won 100% of 35)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)76% (won 100% of 142)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1PT-S7
Magic vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Suns $15K—Magic $509
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Warriors $3.5KHeat $1.2K——
Heat vs. Warriors
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
Warriors $821——Heat $247
Predators vs. Avalanche
opposite sides · consensus Predators
—Predators $200—Avalanche $111
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407K—No $335K—
Ducks vs. Oilers
same side · consensus Oilers
—Oilers $407—Oilers $8
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $157—Florida Atlantic $86
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $16—Southern Miss $27