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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorplittle-jerkndb1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)no settled market63% (1095–631, n=1726)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M—$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #715PM monthly #118
Sides with the consensus80% (39 of 49 open)74% (151 of 205 open)no open consensus position72% (70 of 97 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)—13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)—19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)—23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)—44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorplittle-jerkndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421K——No $346K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K——Yes $12K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $114KColts $185——