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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | lastminwin | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6510–6010, n=12520) | 54% (13–11, n=24) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.3M | $261K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #94 | PM monthly #102 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (19 of 29 open) | 70% (203 of 289 open) | 67% (39 of 58 open) | 72% (95 of 132 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 69% of 13 at avg 44¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 38% (won 20% of 5) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 23% (won 100% of 3) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 23% (won 100% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | lastminwin | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $7 | — | No $20K | Yes $993K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $76K | — | No $15K | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | — | No $335K |