← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | twe2nty | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 73% (193–70, n=263) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $3.7M | $5.3M | -$20K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #885 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 68% (161 of 236 open) | no open consensus position | 80% (20 of 25 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=118 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 72% of 258 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 21% (won 4% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 5% (won 8% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 5% (won 67% of 12) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 70% (won 97% of 180) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | twe2nty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $39K | — | — | Yes $11K |