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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | mostlywrong | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6475–6058, n=12533) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 62% (55–34, n=89) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $3.7M | $5.3M | $31K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #705 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (28 of 37 open) | 71% (257 of 362 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (4 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | College Football −15 pts, n=11 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 43% of 95 at avg 39¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 53% (won 12% of 50) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 11% (won 40% of 10) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 8% (won 63% of 8) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 28% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | mostlywrong |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $148K | Thunder $14K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $367 | Pelicans $1.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $450 | Bucks $539 | — | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Thunder | Grizzlies $14K | Grizzlies $760 | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Jazz $422 | Jazz $190 | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | Timberwolves $167 | Timberwolves $403 | — | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $50 | Grizzlies $350 | — | — |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Raptors $122 | Raptors $154 | — | — |