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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ForaPT26 | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | no settled market | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | — | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #22 | was PM monthly #987 | PM monthly #3 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (16 of 29 open) | 68% (216 of 319 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 50% of 2 at avg 36¢, ROI +35% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 50% (won 0% of 1) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 0% | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 0% | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ForaPT26 | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $218K | Pacers $3.3K | — | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $90K | 76ers $7.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $19K | Pelicans $687 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $14K | Bucks $2.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $357 | Pacers $309 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $880 | Celtics $1.3K | — | — |