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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | FakePolls | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 62% (240–147, n=387) | 45% (10–12, n=22) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $199K | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #201 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (28 of 36 open) | 69% (9 of 13 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 87% of 281 at avg 66¢, ROI +17% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 48% of 27) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 13% (won 65% of 37) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 22% (won 89% of 63) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 55% (won 98% of 154) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | FakePolls | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $34K | Yes $9.0K | — |