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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankEnd123ndb1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)65% (271–144, n=415)65% (889–469, n=1358)50% (15092–15111, n=30203)
Consensus PnL$9.4M-$18K$4.2M$3.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #792PM monthly #96PM monthly #58
Sides with the consensus59% (17 of 29 open)100% (1 of 1 open)74% (34 of 46 open)53% (75 of 142 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NFL −18 pts, n=18NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 422 at avg 63¢, ROI −1%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)14% (won 11% of 57)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)10% (won 42% of 43)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)31% (won 63% of 132)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)45% (won 86% of 190)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankEnd123ndb1omnibus-076daa
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $29K——Pelicans $4
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $17K——Pelicans $4
Hawks vs. Wizards
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $2.8K——Wizards $4
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0K——Yes $153
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $330K——Grizzlies $3
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $195K——Pistons $241
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $22K——Yes $117
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K——Yes $215
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6K——Yes $69
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $516——Yes $29
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28——Yes $41