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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| BreakTheBank | ElonSpam | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 45% (1263–1552, n=2815) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $88K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #817 | PM monthly #22 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (47 of 67 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 56% (55 of 99 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −24 pts, n=16 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 48% of 3104 at avg 47¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 34% (won 9% of 1048) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 15% (won 39% of 465) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 59% of 733) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 28% (won 92% of 858) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ElonSpam | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $187K | Yes $2.9K | — |
| Oilers vs. Devils opposite sides · consensus Devils | — | Oilers $2.0K | Devils $3.3K |
| Hurricanes vs. Predators opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | — | Hurricanes $2.0K | Predators $860 |
| Ducks vs. Canucks same side · consensus Ducks | — | Ducks $1.4K | Ducks $614 |