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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCypyagoogleplayrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)50% (1–1, n=2)33% (2–4, n=6)65% (13–7, n=20)
Consensus PnL$779K-$228$320K$261K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #819PM monthly #19PM monthly #17 + pinned
Sides with the consensus35% (6 of 17 open)83% (20 of 24 open)33% (1 of 3 open)55% (6 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%—83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)—0%11% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)—19% (won 70% of 10)33% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)—76% (won 85% of 41)44% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)—6% (won 100% of 3)11% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCypyagoogleplayrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $2.9K—Trail Blazers $52KThunder $116K
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Clippers $1.3K——Suns $54K
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Kings $53—Kings $43K—
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Kings $4.5K——Kings $369