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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCryptoSlonprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)no settled market50% (1116–1127, n=2243)47% (14240–15745, n=29985)
Consensus PnL$7.3M—$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #988PM monthly #50PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus84% (27 of 32 open)no open consensus position58% (14 of 24 open)61% (82 of 134 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)—41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)—49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCryptoSlonprimmRN1
New Mexico vs. Nevada
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
——Nevada $7.4KNew Mexico $2.4K
Spread: South Florida (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus South Florida
——South Florida $3.7KEast Carolina $3.5K
Spread: Nebraska (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
——Nebraska $2.0KIllinois $2.2K
Nebraska vs. Illinois: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KUnder $2.4K
Spread: Nebraska (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
——Nebraska $2.1KIllinois $1.5K
South Florida vs. East Carolina: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KOver $1.2K
Spread: New Mexico (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
——Nevada $1.3KNew Mexico $1.2K
Spread: Illinois (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
——Nebraska $1.1KIllinois $860
Spread: South Florida (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus East Carolina
——South Florida $416East Carolina $1.5K
Spread: South Florida (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus East Carolina
——South Florida $324East Carolina $971
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $450——Bucks $36
Spread: East Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus South Florida
——South Florida $286East Carolina $61
New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.7KOver $272
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $367——Timberwolves $940
Spread: East Carolina (-5.5)
same side · consensus South Florida
——South Florida $4South Florida $1.2K
Spread: Nebraska (-6.5)
same side · consensus Illinois
——Illinois $91Illinois $779
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $122——Raptors $555
New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 41.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $164Over $23
Spread: East Carolina (-2.5)
same side · consensus South Florida
——South Florida $59South Florida $108