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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Crypto-Joe | joseph00677 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 65% (90–49, n=139) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $5.8K | $5.6M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #879 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #50 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (9 of 19 open) | 80% (8 of 10 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −17 pts, n=19 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 72% of 97 at avg 62¢, ROI +10% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 11% (won 18% of 11) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 47% of 19) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 27% (won 81% of 26) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 42% (won 93% of 41) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Crypto-Joe | joseph00677 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $182K | Yes $14K | — | — |