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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankChonkVisionRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)57% (235–177, n=412)47% (14240–15745, n=29985)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$599K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #82PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus83% (29 of 35 open)40% (2 of 5 open)60% (101 of 169 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +6 pts n=229, ROI +9%
  • NBA +20 pts n=11, ROI +20%
  • NFL +5 pts n=13, ROI +11%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=110—
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%58% of 401 at avg 55¢, ROI +9%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)1% (won 0% of 3)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)29% (won 51% of 115)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)64% (won 59% of 258)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)6% (won 88% of 25)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankChonkVisionRN1
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Grizzlies $14K—Thunder $958
Sharks vs. Wild
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Wild $1.2KSharks $76
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $50—Thunder $492
Blue Jackets vs. Sabres
same side · consensus Sabres
—Sabres $1.7KSabres $558
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $450—Raptors $37
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Raptors $122—Raptors $149