← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Cannae | e46m3 | juice-fruit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 95% (310–15, n=325) | no settled market | 17% (156–789, n=945) | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | — | $536K | $152K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #18 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (32 of 38 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (320 of 441 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −6 pts, n=17 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 10423 at avg 61¢, ROI +41% | 62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30% | 97% of 63 at avg 60¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 9% (won 99% of 913) | 38% (won 18% of 2197) | 2% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 21% (won 100% of 2187) | 7% (won 53% of 397) | 21% (won 92% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 29% (won 100% of 3058) | 9% (won 71% of 531) | 48% (won 97% of 30) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 41% (won 100% of 4265) | 46% (won 97% of 2679) | 30% (won 100% of 19) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.