Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSjoseph00677UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–665, n=1225)52% (5357–4920, n=10277)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (19560–19625, n=39185)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$638K$5.6M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #53PM monthly #1PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus48% (10 of 21 open)63% (86 of 137 open)no open consensus position71% (98 of 139 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Golf −2 pts, n=108——
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)13% (won 19% of 1341)12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)35% (won 46% of 3607)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)35% (won 61% of 3523)65% (won 73% of 11)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)17% (won 86% of 1699)18% (won 67% of 3)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSjoseph00677UpTheBlues
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28No $18K——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.0KNo $15K——
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.2KNo $4.8K——
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $218
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $765KNo $14K——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $22KYes $2.0K——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15KYes $811——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6KYes $376——
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $80Yes $1.6K——
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $164Yes $42——