Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bloodmaster2fantasy7788Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)62% (13–8, n=21)52% (16–15, n=31)71% (2547–1041, n=3588)
Consensus PnL-$76K$795K$493K
Tracked asPM monthly #707PM monthly #24PM monthly #12
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)44% (72 of 164 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——College Basketball −4 pts, n=174
Settled positions, side won81% of 16 at avg 79¢, ROI −22%100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%
Entries under 30¢0%6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 409)
Entries 30–50¢0%53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 222)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 80% of 5)35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up69% (won 82% of 11)6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 271)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBloodmaster2fantasy7788Flaznorp
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Gen.G
—Bilibili Gaming $101KBilibili Gaming $456