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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BlackMamba08ferrariChampions2026primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (108–126, n=234)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL$13K-$9.5M$3.7M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #896was PM monthly #87PM monthly #40PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus40% (20 of 50 open)56% (5 of 9 open)no open consensus position58% (25 of 43 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won34% of 65 at avg 20¢, ROI +10%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢69% (won 18% of 45)4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 95% of 59)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 67% of 12)26% (won 100% of 1446)40% (won 99% of 512)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 67% of 6)40% (won 100% of 2198)50% (won 100% of 633)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 2)30% (won 100% of 1675)5% (won 100% of 65)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBlackMamba08ferrariChampions2026primmRN1
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
—Liam Broady $2.0K—Billy Harris $6.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.8K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $14——No $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5——Over $3.0K
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $1.5K—Cavaliers $708
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360