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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Better-ManFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)72% (308–121, n=429)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (1014–591, n=1605)
Consensus PnL$69K$3.7M$5.3M$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #633PM monthly #13PM monthly #2PM monthly #98
Sides with the consensus97% (34 of 35 open)68% (238 of 352 open)no open consensus position73% (62 of 85 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicElections −4 pts, n=101Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won66% of 437 at avg 62¢, ROI +2%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 9% of 126)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 23% of 26)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 82% of 33)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 97% of 252)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBetter-ManFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $17K—Under $6.4K