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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Better-ManBreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)72% (308–121, n=429)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)
Consensus PnL$67K$7.3M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #633PM monthly #3PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus97% (34 of 35 open)88% (22 of 25 open)76% (220 of 288 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicElections −4 pts, n=101—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won66% of 437 at avg 62¢, ROI +2%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 9% of 126)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 23% of 26)35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 82% of 33)35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 97% of 252)20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBetter-ManBreakTheBankFlaznorp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.9KYes $79K—