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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bet1nthedarkBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)88% (160–21, n=181)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11777–15355, n=27132)55% (13382–10751, n=24133)
Consensus PnL-$24K$8.4M-$9.5M$1.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000PM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus94% (15 of 16 open)88% (30 of 34 open)75% (3 of 4 open)63% (73 of 115 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———NFL −24 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won92% of 165 at avg 85¢, ROI +6%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 0% of 5)10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 67% of 9)36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 85% of 13)35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)
Entries 70¢ and up84% (won 97% of 138)20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBet1nthedarkBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $141Yes $2.8K
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $15K—Bills $75
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $12K