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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bet1nthedark | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 91% (126–13, n=139) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | -$18K | $9.4M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #919 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (5 of 5 open) | 52% (12 of 23 open) | 57% (77 of 136 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 157 at avg 85¢, ROI +6% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 0% of 5) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 67% of 9) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 83% of 12) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 83% (won 97% of 131) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bet1nthedark | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $30K | Pelicans $125 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $19K | Pelicans $135 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $323 | Pelicans $143 |