Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BeastsBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)42% (11–15, n=26)46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)65% (888–469, n=1357)
Consensus PnL$79K$11.2M$3.3M$4.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #348PM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #148
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (12 of 22 open)64% (235 of 367 open)74% (34 of 46 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicEsports −5 pts, n=16—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won40% of 20 at avg 43¢, ROI −1%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 29% of 7)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 43% of 7)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 33% of 3)35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up15% (won 67% of 3)20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBeastsBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $63KYes $77K—
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $300KNo $43K—