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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BeastsBreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)33% (11–22, n=33)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6491–6080, n=12571)
Consensus PnL$74K$7.3M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #370PM monthly #3PM monthly #13
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position77% (27 of 35 open)67% (235 of 351 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicEsports −11 pts, n=16—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won32% of 22 at avg 43¢, ROI −15%97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢32% (won 29% of 7)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 25% of 8)35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 25% of 4)35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 67% of 3)20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBeastsBreakTheBankFlaznorp
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $769Bucks $67
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Jazz $396Mavericks $16
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
—Grizzlies $14KGrizzlies $718
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $50Grizzlies $1.1K
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Timberwolves $199Timberwolves $72
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
—Raptors $214Raptors $48